User:Illiena
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Bones Data
A log of all the predictions I make with my bones. Some notes:
- I only predict with a full pool.
- I never try for a curse.
- I re-analyze after every event.
- I'm a member of the Progeny, not the Nomads.
First set of bones
Initial state (when I began tracking). This was my first set of bones, and I didn't log my earliest predictions with them.
The Krr-tich is notably off-balance. The Sek-rith is notably off-balance. The symbols on the Moon Sphere are difficult to differentiate though the weighting of the bone is fair. The lacquer unevenly coats the Sun Disk, which is slightly off-balance. The bones are several years old. They appear to have seen use. The overall craftsmanship is below average and the bones should prove slightly susceptible to damage. Recognizing the investiture as your own, you cautiously probe the bones with your prophetic talent. A delicate conduit of probability flows through the Krr-tich. A lone strand of probability trickles through the Sek-rith. A delicate conduit of probability flows through the Moon Sphere. A delicate conduit of probability flows through the Sun Disk.
Predictions:
| # | Date | Cha | Astro | Intended Skill | Potency | Duration | Desired skill hit | Polarity | Polarity Turned | Event | Krr-tich quality | Sek-rith quality | Moon Sphere quality | Sun Disk quality | Krr-tich conduit | Sek-rith conduit | Moon Sphere conduit | Sun Disk conduit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23-Aug-2014 | 50 | 792 | locks | 4 | 4 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 2 | 23-Aug-2014 | 50 | 792 | sling | 3 | 4 | no | positive | no | |||||||||
| 3 | 23-Aug-2014 | 50 | 792 | brig | 3 | 4 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 4 | 23-Aug-2014 | 50 | 792 | sorcery | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 5 | 23-Aug-2014 | 50 | 792 | brig | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | yes | damage:Sun Disk | notably off-balance | notably off-balance | difficult to differentiate | unevenly/slightly off-balance | delicate conduit | lone strand | delicate conduit | delicate conduit |
| 6 | 22-Sep-2014 | 51 | 813 | arcana | 3 | 4 | no | positive | no | |||||||||
| 7 | 22-Sep-2014 | 51 | 813 | scholar | 3 | 4 | yes | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 8 | 07-Dec-2014 | 53 | 857 | astrology | 3 | 4 | no | positive | no | damage:Sek-rith | notably off-balance | notably off-balance | difficult to differentiate | unevenly/slightly off-balance | delicate conduit | lone strand | delicate conduit | delicate conduit |
| 9 | 19-Feb-2015 | 54 | 894 | outdoors | 4 | 5 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 10 | 18-Apr-2015 | 55 | 914 | outdoors | 4 | 5 | yes | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 11 | 14-May-2015 | 56 | 920 | locks | 4 | 4 | no | positive | no | |||||||||
| 12 | 14-May-2015 | 56 | 920 | brig | 3 | 4 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 13 | 14-May-2015 | 56 | 920 | brig | 3 | 4 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 14 | 14-May-2015 | 56 | 920 | sorcery | 3 | 4 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 15 | 14-May-2015 | 56 | 920 | brig | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | no | improvement:Krr-tich | notably off-balance | notably off-balance | difficult to differentiate | unevenly/slightly off-balance | delicate conduit | lone strand | delicate conduit | delicate conduit |
| 16 | 14-May-2015 | 56 | 920 | sorcery | 4 | 4 | no | negative | no | |||||||||
| 17 | 14-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | sling | 4 | 4 | yes | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 18 | 14-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | locks | 4 | 5 | no | positive | no | |||||||||
| 19 | 14-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | sling | 4 | 4 | yes | positive | no | damage:Krr-tich AND damage:Sun Disk | notably off-balance | notably off-balance | difficult to differentiate | unevenly/slightly off-balance | delicate conduit | lone strand | delicate conduit | delicate conduit |
| 20 | 14-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | locks | 4 | 5 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 21 | 14-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | sling | 4 | 4 | no | negative | no | |||||||||
| 22 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | brig | 3 | 4 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 23 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | sorcery | 4 | 4 | yes | negative | no | damage:Krr-tich | notably off-balance | notably off-balance | difficult to differentiate | unevenly/slightly off-balance | delicate conduit | lone strand | delicate conduit | delicate conduit |
| 24 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | brig | 4 | 3 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 25 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | locks | 4 | 5 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 26 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | sling | 4 | 4 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 27 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | sling | 4 | 4 | yes | positive | yes | damage:Krr-tich | notably off-balance | notably off-balance | difficult to differentiate | unevenly/slightly off-balance | delicate conduit | lone strand | delicate conduit | delicate conduit |
| 28 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | locks | 4 | 4 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 29 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | sling | 4 | 3 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 30 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | sorcery | 4 | 4 | yes | negative | no | improvement:Moon Sphere | notably off-balance | notably off-balance | difficult to differentiate | unevenly/slightly off-balance | delicate conduit | lone strand | delicate conduit | delicate conduit |
| 31 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | locks | 4 | 5 | yes | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 32 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | sling | 4 | 4 | yes | negative | no | damage:Sun Disk | notably off-balance | notably off-balance | difficult to differentiate | unevenly/slightly off-balance | delicate conduit | lone strand | delicate conduit | delicate conduit |
| 33 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | locks | 4 | 5 | no | positive | no | damage:Moon Sphere | notably off-balance | notably off-balance | nearly impossible to differentiate | unevenly/slightly off-balance | delicate conduit | lone strand | delicate conduit | delicate conduit |
| 34 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | sling | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | no | damage:Moon Sphere | notably off-balance | notably off-balance | nearly impossible to differentiate | unevenly/slightly off-balance | delicate conduit | lone strand | delicate conduit | delicate conduit |
| 35 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | sling | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 36 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | locks | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 37 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | sling | 4 | 4 | no | negative | no | |||||||||
| 38 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | locks | 4 | 3 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 39 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | brig | 4 | 4 | yes | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 40 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | sling | 4 | 2 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 41 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | brig | 4 | 4 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 42 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 921 | sorcery | 4 | 4 | no | positive | no | improvement:Moon Sphere | notably off-balance | notably off-balance | nearly impossible to differentiate | unevenly/slightly off-balance | delicate conduit | lone strand | narrow conduit | delicate conduit |
| 43 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 922 | brig | 3 | 3 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 44 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 922 | sorcery | 4 | 4 | no | negative | no | |||||||||
| 45 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 922 | brig | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 46 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 922 | sorcery | 4 | 4 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 47 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 922 | brig | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 48 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 922 | sorcery | 4 | 4 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 49 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 922 | brig | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 50 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 922 | locks | 4 | 5 | no | negative | no | |||||||||
| 51 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 922 | sling | 4 | 4 | no | positive | yes |
Second set of bones
This is a nomlas set from the HE tasks. Initial state:
The Krr-tich is well-balanced. The Sek-rith is well-balanced. The symbols on the Moon Sphere are well detailed and the weighting of the bone is fair. The lacquer smoothly and evenly coats the Sun Disk, which is well-balanced. The bones are brand new. They appear to have never seen use. The overall craftsmanship is very good and the bones should prove resistant to damage. Recognizing the investiture as your own, you cautiously probe the bones with your prophetic talent. A lone strand of probability trickles through the Krr-tich. A lone strand of probability trickles through the Sek-rith. A lone strand of probability trickles through the Moon Sphere. A lone strand of probability trickles through the Sun Disk.
Predictions. Because of a messaging bug, I missed a Sun Disk improvement within the first 6 rolls.
| # | Date | Cha | Astro | Intended Skill | Potency | Duration | Desired skill hit | Polarity | Polarity Turned | Event | Krr-tich quality | Sek-rith quality | Moon Sphere quality | Sun Disk quality | Krr-tich conduit | Sek-rith conduit | Moon Sphere conduit | Sun Disk conduit |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 922 | locks | 4 | 5 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 2 | 15-May-2015 | 56 | 922 | sling | 4 | 4 | yes | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 3 | 16-May-2015 | 56 | 922 | brig | 3 | 4 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 4 | 16-May-2015 | 56 | 922 | sorcery | 4 | 4 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 5 | 16-May-2015 | 56 | 922 | sling | 4 | 4 | yes | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 6 | 16-May-2015 | 56 | 922 | locks | 4 | 5 | no | positive | no | improvement:Sek-rith | well-balanced | well-balanced | well detailed | smoothly and evenly/well-balanced | lone strand | delicate conduit | lone strand | delicate conduit |
| 7 | 16-May-2015 | 56 | 922 | sling | 4 | 4 | no | positive | no | damage:Sun Disk | well-balanced | well-balanced | well detailed | smoothly and evenly/adequately balanced | lone strand | delicate conduit | lone strand | delicate conduit |
| 8 | 16-May-2015 | 56 | 922 | locks | 4 | 5 | no | positive | no | |||||||||
| 9 | 16-May-2015 | 56 | 922 | sling | 4 | 3 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 10 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | locks | 4 | 5 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 11 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | sling | 3 | 3 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 12 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | brig | 3 | 4 | yes | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 13 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | sorcery | 4 | 4 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 14 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | brig | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 15 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | sorcery | 4 | 3 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 16 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | brig | 4 | 3 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 17 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | sorcery | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 18 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | brig | 3 | 4 | no | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 19 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | sorcery | 3 | 3 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 20 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | brig | 4 | 4 | yes | positive | no | improvement:Moon Sphere | well-balanced | well-balanced | well detailed | smoothly and evenly/adequately balanced | lone strand | delicate conduit | delicate conduit | delicate conduit |
| 21 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | sorcery | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 22 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | brig | 3 | 4 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 23 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | sling | 3 | 4 | yes | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 24 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | locks | 4 | 5 | yes | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 25 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | sling | 4 | 4 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 26 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | locks | 4 | 4 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 27 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | sling | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 28 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | locks | 4 | 4 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 29 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | sling | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | yes | improvement:Moon Sphere | well-balanced | well-balanced | well detailed | smoothly and evenly/adequately balanced | lone strand | delicate conduit | delicate conduit | delicate conduit |
| 30 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | locks | 4 | 4 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 31 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | sling | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 32 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | locks | 4 | 5 | no | positive | no | |||||||||
| 33 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | sling | 3 | 3 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 34 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | brig | 4 | 4 | no | negative | no | |||||||||
| 35 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | sorcery | 3 | 4 | no | positive | no | |||||||||
| 36 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | sorcery | 4 | 4 | no | positive | no | |||||||||
| 37 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | brig | 4 | 4 | yes | negative | no | improvement:Sek-rith | well-balanced | well-balanced | well detailed | smoothly and evenly/adequately balanced | lone strand | delicate conduit | delicate conduit | delicate conduit |
| 38 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | brig | 4 | 4 | yes | negative | no | improvement:Moon Sphere | well-balanced | well-balanced | well detailed | smoothly and evenly/adequately balanced | lone strand | delicate conduit | delicate conduit | delicate conduit |
| 39 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | sorcery | 4 | 4 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 40 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | locks | 4 | 5 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 41 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | brig | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 42 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | sorcery | 4 | 4 | no | negative | no | |||||||||
| 43 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | brig | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 44 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | sorcery | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 45 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | sling | 4 | 4 | yes | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 46 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | locks | 4 | 5 | no | positive | no | |||||||||
| 47 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | sling | 4 | 4 | no | positive | no | |||||||||
| 48 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | locks | 4 | 5 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 49 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 923 | sling | 3 | 3 | yes | positive | yes | damage:Sun Disk | well-balanced | well-balanced | well detailed | smoothly and evenly/adequately balanced | lone strand | delicate conduit | delicate conduit | delicate conduit |
| 50 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | locks | 4 | 5 | no | positive | no | improvement:Moon Sphere | well-balanced | well-balanced | well detailed | smoothly and evenly/adequately balanced | lone strand | delicate conduit | narrow conduit | delicate conduit |
| 51 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | sling | 4 | 4 | no | positive | no | |||||||||
| 52 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | locks | 4 | 3 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 53 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | sling | 4 | 4 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 54 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | brig | 3 | 4 | yes | negative | no | improvement:Krr-tich | well-balanced | well-balanced | well detailed | smoothly and evenly/adequately balanced | delicate conduit | delicate conduit | narrow conduit | delicate conduit |
| 55 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | sorcery | 3 | 4 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 56 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | brig | 3 | 3 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 57 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | sorcery | 4 | 3 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 58 | 16-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | brig | 4 | 4 | no | positive | no | |||||||||
| 59 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | sorcery | 3 | 4 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 60 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | brig | 3 | 4 | no | positive | no | improvement:Sek-rith | well-balanced | well-balanced | well detailed | smoothly and evenly/adequately balanced | delicate conduit | delicate conduit | narrow conduit | delicate conduit |
| 61 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | sling | 3 | 4 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 62 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | locks | 4 | 4 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 63 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | sling | 3 | 4 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 64 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | locks | 4 | 4 | yes | positive | no | probability gush AND improvement:Moon Sphere | well-balanced | well-balanced | well detailed | smoothly and evenly/adequately balanced | delicate conduit | delicate conduit | narrow conduit | delicate conduit |
| 65 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | sling | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 66 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | locks | 4 | 5 | no | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 67 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | sling | 3 | 3 | yes | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 68 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | locks | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 69 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | sling | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 70 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | locks | 4 | 3 | no | positive | no | damage:Sun Disk | well-balanced | well-balanced | well detailed | smoothly and evenly/adequately balanced | delicate conduit | delicate conduit | narrow conduit | delicate conduit |
| 71 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | brig | 4 | 4 | no | positive | no | |||||||||
| 72 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | sorcery | 4 | 4 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 73 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | brig | 4 | 4 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 74 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | sorcery | 4 | 4 | yes | negative | no | improvement:Sek-rith | well-balanced | well-balanced | well detailed | smoothly and evenly/adequately balanced | delicate conduit | narrow conduit | narrow conduit | delicate conduit |
| 75 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | brig | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 76 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | sling | 4 | 4 | no | negative | no | |||||||||
| 77 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | sorcery | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 78 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | brig | 4 | 3 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 79 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | sorcery | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | no | improvement:Moon Sphere | well-balanced | well-balanced | well detailed | smoothly and evenly/adequately balanced | delicate conduit | narrow conduit | narrow conduit | delicate conduit |
| 80 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | brig | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 81 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | sorcery | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 82 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | locks | 4 | 5 | no | negative | no | damage:Sun Disk | well-balanced | well-balanced | well detailed | smoothly and evenly/adequately balanced | delicate conduit | narrow conduit | narrow conduit | delicate conduit |
| 83 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | sling | 4 | 4 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 84 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | locks | 4 | 5 | no | negative | no | |||||||||
| 85 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | sling | 4 | 4 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 86 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | locks | 4 | 5 | yes | positive | yes | damage:Moon Sphere | well-balanced | well-balanced | easy to distinguish | smoothly and evenly/adequately balanced | delicate conduit | narrow conduit | narrow conduit | delicate conduit |
| 87 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 924 | sling | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 88 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 925 | sling | 3 | 3 | yes | positive | yes | |||||||||
| 89 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 925 | brig | 4 | 4 | no | positive | no | |||||||||
| 90 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 925 | sorcery | 4 | 4 | yes | negative | no | improvement:Krr-tich | well-balanced | well-balanced | easy to distinguish | smoothly and evenly/adequately balanced | delicate conduit | narrow conduit | narrow conduit | delicate conduit |
| 91 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 925 | brig | 4 | 4 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 92 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 925 | sorcery | 4 | 4 | yes | negative | no | improvement:Sek-rith | well-balanced | well-balanced | easy to distinguish | smoothly and evenly/adequately balanced | delicate conduit | narrow conduit | narrow conduit | delicate conduit |
| 93 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 925 | brig | 4 | 4 | yes | negative | no | |||||||||
| 94 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 925 | locks | 4 | 5 | yes | positive | yes | improvement:Sun Disk | well-balanced | well-balanced | easy to distinguish | smoothly and evenly/adequately balanced | delicate conduit | narrow conduit | narrow conduit | delicate conduit |
| 95 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 925 | brig | 4 | 3 | yes | positive | no | |||||||||
| 96 | 17-May-2015 | 57 | 925 | sorcery | 4 | 3 | yes | negative | no |
Key
For the Potency and Duration columns:
| # | Direction |
|---|---|
| 1 | It points directly away from you. |
| 2 | It points away from you. |
| 3 | It points off to one side. |
| 4 | It points towards you. |
| 5 | It points directly towards you. |