User:RAFANO - Revision history

RAFANO at 16:06, 14 May 2020

2020-05-14T16:06:16Z

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	* Your tessera chimes pleasantly, and your Avtalia Array hums pleasantly, filling your body with a comforting warmth.		* Your tessera chimes pleasantly, and your Avtalia Array hums pleasantly, filling your body with a comforting warmth.

	There is a lot of context being left out here - I'm purposefully only focussing on the Trader-related parts. For a more complete summary of the ritual that this was all happening during, please ~~reach~~ ~~out~~ to ~~myself,~~ or ~~[[Lenaea]]~~ ~~and~~ [[~~Aaoskar~~]].		There is a lot of context being left out here - I'm purposefully only focussing on the Trader-related parts. For a more complete summary of the ritual that this was all happening during, please see the more complete log posted by the [[Moonbender family]].

	It kills me to wonder what the other choice would have led to.		It kills me to wonder what the other choice would have led to.

RAFANO: Added "The Test"

2020-05-13T20:39:14Z

Added "The Test"

← Older revision		Revision as of 15:39, 13 May 2020
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	'''UPDATE:''' This is admittedly jumping to conclusions a little bit, but it is very interesting to compare this theory, which was developed some time ago, to the recent events of the Stellar Collector Experiment, where it is possible that the Negotiants made vague references to part of the Contract including a hostage of House Turmar being held as collateral for the agreement (see the Stellar Collector Experiment section above). If interpreted correctly, this hostage or collateral could be part of the future downfall of House Turmar that Rafano's Intervention Theory would predict. In any event, it's certainly not a good position for them to be in.		'''UPDATE:''' This is admittedly jumping to conclusions a little bit, but it is very interesting to compare this theory, which was developed some time ago, to the recent events of the Stellar Collector Experiment, where it is possible that the Negotiants made vague references to part of the Contract including a hostage of House Turmar being held as collateral for the agreement (see the Stellar Collector Experiment section above). If interpreted correctly, this hostage or collateral could be part of the future downfall of House Turmar that Rafano's Intervention Theory would predict. In any event, it's certainly not a good position for them to be in.

			==The Test==

			On May 12, 2020, Moon Mages and fellow Lunar researchers [[Lenaea]] and [[Aaoskar]] led an event, called "Dance for the Spirits", where they aimed to explore the ancient traditions of the [[Nomads of the Arid Steppe]], in an effort to learn more about the connection between Moon Mages and the Plane of Probability.

			Initially planning to attend only as a passive bystander, imagine Rafano's surprise when his mind was unexpectedly touched by the [[Negotiants]], and he was given a choice about whether to tamper with the Plane of Probability (in violation of the agreement with the Arbiter), or to adhere to the Contract:

			* A yawning void of probabilistic functions spiral around Quentiana, coalescing into multitudinous polytopes that fuse and separate in an impossibly complex weave. You begin to develop a headache as you try and make sense of the transformations, when suddenly, you find yourself able to accurately predict an emergent derivation. Then another. And another. A formula begins to arrange itself in your mind, as you keep track of unknowns and rearrange the equation to isolate redundancies, when suddenly your tessera chimes, and you feel the immense weight of the Negotiants in the back of your mind.
			* You distractedly say, "What is it . . . . show me."
			* The yawning void of probabilistic functions escalates to a tornado of starlight equations. You sense that you can BLINK away the images and secrets that violate the terms of the Contract, or you could STARE QUENTIANA to learn more of the Plane of Probability.
			* Unfathomable solutions writhe around Quentiana's dancing form, and you feel the Negotiants expanding and unfurling in the distance.
			* You sense that you can STARE QUENTIANA to learn more of the Plane of Probability, or BLINK away the images and secrets that violate the terms of the Contract.
			* You blink.
			* Your tessera chimes pleasantly, and your Avtalia Array hums pleasantly, filling your body with a comforting warmth.

			There is a lot of context being left out here - I'm purposefully only focussing on the Trader-related parts. For a more complete summary of the ritual that this was all happening during, please reach out to myself, or [[Lenaea]] and [[Aaoskar]].

			It kills me to wonder what the other choice would have led to.

RAFANO: Fixed typo

2020-04-20T17:54:55Z

Fixed typo

← Older revision		Revision as of 12:54, 20 April 2020
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	==The Genesis Theory==		==The Genesis Theory==

	Rafano's Theory of (one of the reasons) why Traders were chosen by the Arbiter to receive Lunar magic, leveraging the [[Speculate command \|~~Specular~~ Luck]] mechanic:		Rafano's Theory of (one of the reasons) why Traders were chosen by the Arbiter to receive Lunar magic, leveraging the [[Speculate command \|Speculate Luck]] mechanic:

	Traders have always had a special relationship with Luck. One with the credentials of a Master Trader may, in fact, even [[Speculate command \|manipulate Luck]] in their favor, such that many of their endeavors are suddenly more successful. This was true even before the Contract … and so it begs the question: where did this talent come from? Consider this:		Traders have always had a special relationship with Luck. One with the credentials of a Master Trader may, in fact, even [[Speculate command \|manipulate Luck]] in their favor, such that many of their endeavors are suddenly more successful. This was true even before the Contract … and so it begs the question: where did this talent come from? Consider this:

RAFANO at 12:21, 24 March 2020

2020-03-24T12:21:47Z

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	* No further mention of the Stanchion, which Rafano had been so focussed on after the results of the Stylus experiment. Perhaps his assumption that this term held some special significance was in fact incorrect.		* No further mention of the Stanchion, which Rafano had been so focussed on after the results of the Stylus experiment. Perhaps his assumption that this term held some special significance was in fact incorrect.
	* "a child standing before a chalkboard and beginning to scream" - likely referencing a series of previous Moon Mage visions from 2019, and yet interesting in that the child in those visions was generally shown as happy, where this one has begun to scream. The child has also been assumed to represent Traders (being young in the ways of Lunar magic).		* "a child standing before a chalkboard and beginning to scream" - likely referencing a series of previous Moon Mage visions from 2019, and yet interesting in that the child in those visions was generally shown as happy, where this one has begun to scream. The child has also been assumed to represent Traders (being young in the ways of Lunar magic).
	* A fleeting reference to the words Turmar, Hostage, and Collateral in short sequence. Potentially fascinating, yet also mysterious, given the Negotiants' strange manner of speech. Could part of the Contract between the Arbiter and Traders include a member of House Turmar being held as hostage, for collateral? See also Rafano's Intervention Theory below, which may be related to this.		* A fleeting reference to the words Turmar, Hostage, and Collateral in short sequence. Potentially fascinating, yet also mysterious, given the Negotiants' strange manner of speech. Could part of the Contract between the Arbiter and Traders include a member of House Turmar being held as hostage, for collateral? See also Rafano's Intervention Theory below, which may be related to this. Another initial theory put forward is that the hostage reference could be the imprisoned six-armed creature that has been mentioned in Moon Mage visions. Or, in its simplest version, the Negotiants could have just been referring to Rafano himself, who, in his captive state at the time, was a sort of hostage of theirs, before they released him.

	==A Survey of Trader Views on Magic==		==A Survey of Trader Views on Magic==

RAFANO at 12:17, 24 March 2020

2020-03-24T12:17:18Z

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	===Execution===		===Execution===

	The Experiment was conducted as planned (March 22, 2020). ~~A special thanks to those other Traders who were in attendance: Sortny, Evivere, and Lasaia.~~		The Experiment was conducted as planned (March 22, 2020).

			A special thanks to those other Traders who were in attendance: Sortny, Evivere, and Lasaia.
⚫	Thanks also to the other adventurers in attendance (I apologize if I missed anyone): Hanryu, Koreberg, Aaoskar~~, Lasaia~~, Tiakim, Ruea, Skaen, Miralynn, Fariden~~, Sortny~~, Melindrha, Garia, Perune~~, Evivere~~, Miskton, Lenaea, Mistanna, Dantia, Neryndil and Aislynn.

		⚫	Thanks also to the other adventurers in attendance (I apologize if I missed anyone - if so it was purely by accident. Feel free to reach out to me.): Hanryu, Koreberg, Aaoskar, Tiakim, Ruea, Skaen, Miralynn, Fariden, Melindrha, Garia, Perune, Miskton, Lenaea, Mistanna, Dantia, Neryndil and Aislynn.

	The Traders assembled took the following actions:		The Traders assembled took the following actions:

RAFANO at 11:44, 24 March 2020

2020-03-24T11:44:06Z

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	Character page: [[Rafano]]		Character page: [[Rafano]]

	This is a place to put all his theories and work regarding Trader magic.		This is a place to put all his theories and work regarding Trader magic. Have questions about any of this? . . . ask Rafano!

	==Lunar Experiment: The Arbiter's Stylus==		==Lunar Experiment: The Arbiter's Stylus==

RAFANO at 04:34, 24 March 2020

2020-03-24T04:34:26Z

← Older revision		Revision as of 23:34, 23 March 2020
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	Character page: [[Rafano]]		Character page: [[Rafano]]

			This is a place to put all his theories and work regarding Trader magic.

	==Lunar Experiment: The Arbiter's Stylus==		==Lunar Experiment: The Arbiter's Stylus==

RAFANO at 04:32, 24 March 2020

2020-03-24T04:32:47Z

@@ Line 157: / Line 157: @@
 * No further mention of the Stanchion, which Rafano had been so focussed on after the results of the Stylus experiment. Perhaps his assumption that this term held some special significance was in fact incorrect.
 * "a child standing before a chalkboard and beginning to scream" - likely referencing a series of previous Moon Mage visions from 2019, and yet interesting in that the child in those visions was generally shown as happy, where this one has begun to scream. The child has also been assumed to represent Traders (being young in the ways of Lunar magic).
-* A fleeting reference to the words Turmar, Hostage, and Collateral in short sequence. Potentially fascinating, yet also mysterious, given the Negotiants' strange manner of speech. Could part of the Contract between the Arbiter and Traders include a member of House Turmar being held as hostage, for collateral?
+* A fleeting reference to the words Turmar, Hostage, and Collateral in short sequence. Potentially fascinating, yet also mysterious, given the Negotiants' strange manner of speech. Could part of the Contract between the Arbiter and Traders include a member of House Turmar being held as hostage, for collateral? See also Rafano's Intervention Theory below, which may be related to this.
 ==A Survey of Trader Views on Magic==
@@ Line 206: / Line 206: @@
 :{{tt|ask rael about negotiant}}
 :Guildleader Raelem gives you a noncommittal smile.  "I wouldn't know anything about that."

RAFANO at 04:12, 24 March 2020

2020-03-24T04:12:26Z

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 That message has always remained a mystery to me. Instead of answering questions, my Stylus Experiment produced more of them. What is the Stanchion? A concept? An idea? Or is it a person? Is it a Trader, one who is dedicated to upholding the Contract, in the same way that a Stanchion provides support to something? Hopefully, soon, at the conclusion of this Stellar Collector Experiment, we will have more answers, for as I said I believe that the Stellar Collector will help us discern a message from the stars meant only for us.
-And I’ll close with one final note. Many of us know the story of Dehvra. Indeed, there was coverage of her in this very paper at the time. I genuinely believe my work, and this Experiment in particular, to be within the limitations of the Contract, given that I am not touching the Plane of Probability in any way. Though this plan may seem similar to her work, I do not follow in her footsteps. As a Trader I hold contracts in the highest order, almost sacred. And she knowingly broke hers, threatening the rest of us in the process. She is, as far as I’m concerned, a Breacher of Contracts, and got what she deserved. I will not be making the same mistake.
+And I’ll close with one final note. Many of us know the story of Dehvra. I genuinely believe my work, and this Experiment in particular, to be within the limitations of the Contract, given that I am not touching the Plane of Probability in any way. Though this plan may seem similar to her work, I do not follow in her footsteps. As a Trader I hold contracts in the highest order, almost sacred. And she knowingly broke hers, threatening the rest of us in the process. She is, as far as I’m concerned, a Breacher of Contracts, and got what she deserved. I will not be making the same mistake.
 ==A Survey of Trader Views on Magic==

RAFANO at 12:45, 18 March 2020

2020-03-18T12:45:30Z

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	==A Survey of Trader Views on Magic==		==A Survey of Trader Views on Magic==

	===Background & ~~Supporting Lore~~===		===Background & Observations===

	Rafano traveled to each of the Guildhalls, in order to survey each of the Leaders regarding their views on magic.		Rafano traveled to each of the Guildhalls, in order to survey each of the Leaders regarding their views on magic.

			His key observation was that, while almost all of the Leaders through their comments displayed negative sentiment (or, at best, neutrality) towards the new Lunar magic, the two exceptions to this rule seemed to be Leaders Imaar and Seranda, from Ratha and Aesry, respectively. They are the only two who appear to be in favor of the magic granted by the Contract.

			Rafano believes their disagreement with the rest of the Leaders on the mainland has something to do with the historical rift between the mainland trading families and the Reshalian trading families, which can be detailed in a [[Traders Guild History (book)\|book on Trader Guild history]] by Willowbrook. Whatever the reason, he is appreciative that there is at least ''some'' support for magic in the upper ranks of the Guild, and intends to seek the guidance of these two Leaders more often.

	===Results===		===Results===